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Manchester United will have their summer transfer window defined by names: Elliot Anderson or Carlos Baleba, Julian Nagelsmann or Michael Carrick, Adam Wharton or Joao Gomes.

Transfer rumours are already multiplying, and the noise around Old Trafford will only intensify once the season ends.

None of it matters as much as who gets the permanent job. This is not an abstract point; it is the single most quantifiable lesson of United’s last decade.

Around eight senior players are expected to leave Old Trafford this summer, clearing the decks for what will be presented as a new era. The same phrase has been used before. Each time, the squad was rebuilt around a vision that the next manager promptly rejected.

Amorim’s 1.43 points-per-game average is the lowest of any permanent United manager in the post-Ferguson era, and yet even a manager with that record could point to genuine mitigating factors—not least a squad assembled on entirely different principles for a different system.

Ugarte was signed to be Amorim’s midfield destroyer, but is now expected to be sold. Hojlund was brought in as a high-pressing target man for Ten Hag’s 4-2-3-1, but is being offloaded to Napoli.

Players come and go...

Continue Reading: Manchester United must get the manager right before thinking about transfers

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