Eight teams battle it out to make the Wembley semi-finals. Our top tipster Lewis Jones, aka Jones Knows, provides his betting insight across all four matches.

Manchester City vs Liverpool, Saturday 12.30pm

Liverpool fans and the hierarchy need to see some big performances and results in the next week otherwise Arne Slot is going to face serious pressure. This is a big one for Liverpool but the market only rates them as a 3/1 chance with Sky Bet to win in 90 minutes. It's a fair assessment of their chances in a tie Manchester City should progress from.

A betting strategy I like to use after an international break is to back low-scoring first halves. It can be a graveyard for goals.

• Liverpool's daunting end-of-season run is set to shape Reds' campaign

The long-term data support a drop in first-half goal averages in games after the international break. Across the last 10 seasons in the Premier League it drops from 1.3 goals per first half across all games to around 1.1 per first half after an international break.

There is logic behind these numbers, too, which is important when assessing a pattern of data as players have been...